Things are looking up.

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fredsheldon
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Things are looking up.

Post by fredsheldon »

The stock market hit an all time high of 16,000. At least somebody thinks the country is going in the right direction. That's a 10,000 point rise since the current administration came into office. Say what you want but I'm optimistic about the future as are millions of investors. Sure, some things need fixing but I'm sure they will be.
Fred Sheldon
The Woodlands, Tx
'52 10ER # 60869 (restored in 2012, used as a dedicated drill press), '52 10ER # 88712 (restored 01/2013), 52 10ER # 71368 (in process of restoring), '83 500 Shorty with OPR installed, '83 520 PowerPro with Lift Assist, 6" Joiner, 6" Belt Sander, 18" Jig Saw, 11" Band Saw, 12" ProPlaner, SS Crosscut Table. SS Dust Collector, Hitachi 1/2" router, Work Sharp 3000 with all attachement, Nova G3 Chuck, Universal Tool Rest, Appalachia Tool Works Sled.
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2centsworth
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Post by 2centsworth »

fredsheldon wrote:The stock market hit an all time high of 16,000. At least somebody thinks the country is going in the right direction. That's a 10,000 point rise since the current administration came into office. Say what you want but I'm optimistic about the future as are millions of investors. Sure, some things need fixing but I'm sure they will be.
Agree Fred, who would have taken that bet back at the first of the year ? Just means more money for more toys !!! :)
Jerry Penny
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dickg1
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Post by dickg1 »

fredsheldon wrote:The stock market hit an all time high of 16,000. At least somebody thinks the country is going in the right direction. That's a 10,000 point rise since the current administration came into office. Say what you want but I'm optimistic about the future as are millions of investors. Sure, some things need fixing but I'm sure they will be.

Unless I am grossly mistaken, the rise in stock prices is directly attributed to the near zero Fed interest rate and the Fed QE (quantitative easing). It certainly is not an attribute of a growing economy although the administration touts a surprise last quarterly rate of about 2.5% annual.

The Fed is keeping the interest rate artificially low so that the administration and congress can continue their spending spree unabated - thereby increasing the debt beyond all reason. With the interest rate as low as it is we are able to pay the interest on 17 trillion without too much pain. Let us hold our enthusiasm on a meteoric rise in the DOW for at some point interest rates will rise. As I understand it, our current debt service runs about 35 billion a month. If current rates mearly double (a very small %) our debt service will increase substantially.

The underlying factor in the DOW is cheap (fiat) money. At some point that cheap money will go away. (Remember 1929 - the reasons are different but the end result will be similiar).

The millions of investors are the major banks and investment companies. They borrow money from the Fed at a near zero rate, invest it in the market on a short term, skim off their profit and pay back the Fed. That is another reason the market is soaring. The individual investor can go for the ride, but should be prepared to jump.

Dick

Dick
A Veteran-whether Active Duty, Retired, National Guard or Reserve-Is Someone Who, at One Point in Their Life, Signed a Blank Check Made Payable To "The United States of America", For An Amount of 'Up To and Including My Life'
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curiousgeorge
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Post by curiousgeorge »

Fred, apparently you really like Kool-Aid.
George
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Ed in Tampa
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Post by Ed in Tampa »

dickg1 wrote:Unless I am grossly mistaken, the rise in stock prices is directly attributed to the near zero Fed interest rate and the Fed QE (quantitative easing). It certainly is not an attribute of a growing economy although the administration touts a surprise last quarterly rate of about 2.5% annual.

The Fed is keeping the interest rate artificially low so that the administration and congress can continue their spending spree unabated - thereby increasing the debt beyond all reason. With the interest rate as low as it is we are able to pay the interest on 17 trillion without too much pain. Let us hold our enthusiasm on a meteoric rise in the DOW for at some point interest rates will rise. As I understand it, our current debt service runs about 35 billion a month. If current rates mearly double (a very small %) our debt service will increase substantially.

The underlying factor in the DOW is cheap (fiat) money. At some point that cheap money will go away. (Remember 1929 - the reasons are different but the end result will be similiar).

The millions of investors are the major banks and investment companies. They borrow money from the Fed at a near zero rate, invest it in the market on a short term, skim off their profit and pay back the Fed. That is another reason the market is soaring. The individual investor can go for the ride, but should be prepared to jump.

Dick

Dick

I totally agree and I would prefer the jump not to be off a tall building.
I can almost guarantee when it hits the fan it will be the little guy playing in the market that will be the cannon fodder.
Ed in Tampa
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fredsheldon
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Post by fredsheldon »

Ed in Tampa wrote:I totally agree and I would prefer the jump not to be off a tall building.
I can almost guarantee when it hits the fan it will be the little guy playing in the market that will be the cannon fodder.
Ed,

Can you tell me when you think it will hit the fan so I can pull all my retirement money out of my IRA's. I would hate to miss out on future growth by pulling out too soon, especially since I have more than doubled my investment so far and am sitting in a much better position than I was 6 years ago.

Fred
Fred Sheldon
The Woodlands, Tx
'52 10ER # 60869 (restored in 2012, used as a dedicated drill press), '52 10ER # 88712 (restored 01/2013), 52 10ER # 71368 (in process of restoring), '83 500 Shorty with OPR installed, '83 520 PowerPro with Lift Assist, 6" Joiner, 6" Belt Sander, 18" Jig Saw, 11" Band Saw, 12" ProPlaner, SS Crosscut Table. SS Dust Collector, Hitachi 1/2" router, Work Sharp 3000 with all attachement, Nova G3 Chuck, Universal Tool Rest, Appalachia Tool Works Sled.
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Ed in Tampa
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Post by Ed in Tampa »

fredsheldon wrote:Ed,

Can you tell me when you think it will hit the fan so I can pull all my retirement money out of my IRA's. I would hate to miss out on future growth by pulling out too soon, especially since I have more than doubled my investment so far and am sitting in a much better position than I was 6 years ago.

Fred
If I could predict that I would not be wasting my time chit chatting on this forum. But you can be sure it is on the way.
Ed in Tampa
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Hit The Record but ...

Post by 2centsworth »

fredsheldon wrote:The stock market hit an all time high of 16,000. At least somebody thinks the country is going in the right direction. That's a 10,000 point rise since the current administration came into office. Say what you want but I'm optimistic about the future as are millions of investors. Sure, some things need fixing but I'm sure they will be.
Looks like it couldn't hold on to it by end of market. Just a matter of time and it will hold for sure !
Jerry Penny
2centsworth
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SS 520 SN#518424 2000 (reversed motor), Shopsmith 10 E (shorty) fully restored by Skip with DC motor, Shopsmith 10 ER fully restored by Skip with DC motor, Shopsmith 10 ER (under going restoration), Greenie Shorty sanding station, Greenie Mini jointer station, SS Bandsaw power station, SS Planner, SS overhead pin router, SS Belt Sander, SS Strip Sander,, SS Jigsaw, SS Dust Collector, Ringmaster, and still having fun looking for more !
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Post by keakap »

dickg1 wrote:...
The millions of investors are the major banks and investment companies. They borrow money from the Fed at a near zero rate, invest it in the market on a short term, skim off their profit and pay back the Fed. That is another reason the market is soaring. The individual investor can go for the ride, but should be prepared to jump. DickDick
Alas, many people confuse the stock markets or Wall Street with our economy. Couldn't be further from the reality.
Seems like the daily reading of the international market news is the rare remaining semi-clear picture of what's happening. .
Mark V 520, Power-Pro!; Speed Reducer; B/S; Jointer; ShopMate DCS; SS Tenon Master; Rip-Strate; Incra; BCTW; DW734; var. SS sanding systems; Wood River;
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Ed in Tampa
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Post by Ed in Tampa »

Watch this and tell me how well our economy is going.
http://www.youtube.com/watch_popup?v=Lvl5Gan69Wo



If that doesn't send a chill down your spine there is probably something wrong.
Ed in Tampa
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